Kennedy Ohene Agyapong, the outspoken former Member of Parliament for Assin Central, has taken an early lead in the New Patriotic Party’s (NPP) flagbearer race with 51.4% delegate support, according to a new survey by civil society group Sanity Africa.
The research, conducted between April and June 2025, gauged voting intentions among delegates listed in the party’s current voter album ahead of the upcoming presidential primaries.
Former Vice President Dr. Mahamudu Bawumia trails with 42.2%, while Dr. Bryan Acheampong and Dr. Osei Yaw Adutwum secured 3.1% and 3.0% support, respectively.
Agyapong Gains Ground Across Key Demographics
Agyapong’s popularity cuts across several segments of the party’s base:
- Women: 57.8%
- Youth under 40: 63%
- Students: 58.9%
- Unemployed: 52.8%
- Self-employed and informal workers: 55.5%
He leads in 10 out of 16 regions, with strongholds in:
- Central Region: 68.1%
- Western Region: 59.5%
- Eastern Region: 60.8%
Bawumia Maintains Grip Among Older, Employed Voters
Bawumia holds a narrow lead among:
- Male delegates: 48.9%
- Formally employed voters: 53.8%
- Delegates aged 40 and above
He also remains the preferred candidate among Muslim delegates with 52.8% support, largely due to religious affinity.
Religion, Age and Employment Shaping Delegate Preferences
- Religion plays a notable role in delegate choices:
- Christian delegates back Agyapong at 61.6%
- Atheists and traditionalists support him at 55.1%
- A generational divide is also apparent, with younger delegates favouring Agyapong and older voters leaning toward Bawumia.
Regional Battlegrounds Remain Fluid
While Agyapong dominates in the southern and central regions, Bawumia leads in the north, including:
- Upper West: 61.5%
- Northern Region: 50.8%
- North East: 51.6%
Swing regions like Savannah and Upper East remain too close to call.
Survey Outlook
Sanity Africa notes that this is Phase One of a three-phase study. Upcoming phases in October 2025 and January 2026 will factor in new delegate categories such as former appointees and past executives.
“This baseline helps track emerging trends and the evolving coalition dynamics that will shape the NPP’s strategy for 2028,” the group said.


